Udinese x Roma Betting tips for April 25 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Udinese x Roma, Thursday, 25/4/2024

📅 25/4/2024 18:00

Udinese 4.79

X 1.73

Roma 3.71

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Udinese x Roma:

🔮 Roma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Roma, you can win up to $1855.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Udinese x Roma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $180.0. 👉 In the last 3 Roma matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Udinese conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Udinese as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from Udinese x Roma for the Italy Serie A – 25 of April

When the best bet on Udinese x Roma is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1105173 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Udinese x Roma

Should you bet on Udinese?

🔵 Udinese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.79. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $492.70;
• And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$377.30.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – profiting $350.40;
• And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$169.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Roma?

🔴 Roma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.71. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – profiting $1056.90;
• And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$446.90.

Handicaps analysis for the match Udinese x Roma

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Udinese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Udinese x Roma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Udinese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Udinese.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Roma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Udinese x Roma

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.