Real Betis x Sevilla Betting tips for April 28 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for Real Betis x Sevilla, Sunday, 28/4/2024

📅 28/4/2024 19:00

Real Betis 2.15

X 3.27

Sevilla 3.35

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Real Betis x Sevilla:

🔮 Real Betis wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Betis, you can win up to $1075.00!

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The main points for the tip for Real Betis x Sevilla: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Betis in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $71.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sevilla in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Real Betis scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sevilla scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Real Betis matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Real Betis conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Real Betis conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Sevilla. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Sevilla has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Real Betis x Sevilla for the Spain Primera Liga – 28 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Real Betis x Sevilla right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1106965 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Real Betis x Sevilla

Should you bet on Real Betis?

🔵 Real Betis: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $621.00
• And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$161.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $590.20;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$149.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sevilla?

🔴 Sevilla: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – profiting $493.50;
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$296.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Real Betis x Sevilla

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Real Betis
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Betis x Sevilla

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Real Betis, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Real Betis.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Real Betis.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Betis x Sevilla

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.