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Home ยป Predictions ยป La Liga ยป Villarreal x Rayo Vallecano Betting tips for April 28 in Spain Primera Liga
Sunday, 28 April 2024, 16h30 Spain Primera Liga
Villarreal Villarreal
PREDICTION Villarreal wins Probability 61% 1 X 2
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Villarreal x Rayo Vallecano Betting tips for April 28 in Spain Primera Liga

Our betting tip for Villarreal x Rayo Vallecano, Sunday, 28/4/2024
๐Ÿ“… 28/4/2024
16:30
Villarreal Villarreal
1.75
X
3.72
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
4.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Villarreal x Rayo Vallecano:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Villarreal wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Villarreal, you can win up to $875.00!

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Important information for your tip for Villarreal x Rayo Vallecano:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Villarreal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $97.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Rayo Vallecano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Rayo Vallecano did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Villarreal scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Villarreal x Rayo Vallecano for the Spain Primera Liga – 28 of April

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Villarreal X Rayo Vallecano – Spain Primera Liga
๐Ÿ“… 28 of April, 2024 – 16:30
๐Ÿ”ต Villarreal – Winning probability: 61.09% | Fair line: 1.64
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.26% | Fair line: 4.7
๐Ÿ”ด Rayo Vallecano – Winning probability: 17.65% | Fair line: 5.67
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Villarreal
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Villarreal and Rayo Vallecano.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1106360 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Villarreal x Rayo Vallecano

Is betting on Villarreal worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Villarreal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – profiting $457.50;
  • And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$67.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $571.20;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$218.80.

Should you bet on Rayo Vallecano?

๐Ÿ”ด Rayo Vallecano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $585.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$235.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Villarreal x Rayo Vallecano

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Villarreal
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Villarreal x Rayo Vallecano

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Villarreal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Villarreal.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Villarreal x Rayo Vallecano

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves