Estoril x Famalicao Betting tips for April 28 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Estoril x Famalicao, Sunday, 28/4/2024

📅 28/4/2024 17:00

Estoril 2.30

X 3.27

Famalicao 2.96

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Estoril x Famalicao:

🔮 Famalicao wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Famalicao, you can win up to $1480.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Estoril x Famalicao: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Estoril in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $617.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Famalicao in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0. 👉 In the last 3 Estoril matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Famalicao conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Estoril x Famalicao?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Estoril x Famalicao for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 28 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Estoril and Famalicao.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1106360 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Estoril x Famalicao

Is it a good idea to bet on Estoril?

🔵 Estoril: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $481.00;
• And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$149.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.27. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $635.60;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$84.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Famalicao?

🔴 Famalicao: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.96. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $705.60
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$65.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Estoril x Famalicao

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Estoril
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estoril x Famalicao

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Estoril, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Estoril.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Famalicao.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estoril x Famalicao

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.