FC Porto x Sporting Betting tips for April 28 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for FC Porto x Sporting, Sunday, 28/4/2024

📅 28/4/2024 19:30

FC Porto 2.50

X 3.30

Sporting 2.70

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Porto x Sporting:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1650.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for FC Porto x Sporting: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Porto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-23.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, FC Porto scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Sporting scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Sporting, FC Porto scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 FC Porto matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Sporting received red cards as the away team in all the last 3 head-to-head matches against FC Porto. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, FC Porto conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Sporting has not lost any of them. 👉 FC Porto has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Sporting playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on FC Porto x Sporting?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on FC Porto x Sporting:

Analysis from FC Porto x Sporting for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 28 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Porto x Sporting right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1106965 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Porto x Sporting

Should you bet on FC Porto?

🔵 FC Porto: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $495.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $782.00;
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$122.00.

Should you bet on Sporting?

🔴 Sporting: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $544.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Porto x Sporting

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FC Porto
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Porto x Sporting

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 FC Porto and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 FC Porto.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 FC Porto.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Porto x Sporting

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.