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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Napoli x Verona Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 19h45 Italy Serie A
Napoli Napoli
PREDICTION Napoli wins Probability 97% 1 X 2
Verona Verona
ODD: @1.22 Don't miss this prediction!

Napoli x Verona Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Napoli x Verona, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
19:45
Napoli Napoli
1.22
X
6.00
Verona Verona
12.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Napoli x Verona:

🔮 Napoli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Napoli, you can win up to $610.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Napoli x Verona:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-68.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Verona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $650.0.
👉 In the last 3 Napoli matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Verona conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Napoli has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Verona playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Napoli x Verona?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Napoli x Verona, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Napoli x Verona for the Italy Serie A – 12 of January

🏟️ Napoli X Verona – Italy Serie A
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 Napoli – Winning probability: 97.61% | Fair line: 1.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.98% | Fair line: 50.46
🔴 Verona – Winning probability: 0.41% | Fair line: 246.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Napoli
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Napoli x Verona right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Napoli x Verona

Should you bet on Napoli?

🔵 Napoli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 97.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 980 times – having a profit of $215.60;
  • And would lose other 20 times – losing -$20.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$195.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $100.00;
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$880.00.

Is betting on Verona worth it?

🔴 Verona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 12.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Napoli x Verona

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Napoli
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Napoli x Verona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Napoli and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Napoli.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.75 Verona.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Napoli x Verona

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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